Demand, Supply, and Offtake
This chapter turns market evidence into quantified demand, available supply, and credible offtake or service-use commitments.
Demand Forecast
Section titled “Demand Forecast”| Segment | Baseline Demand | Forecast Demand | Basis of Estimate | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPLACE: Segment 1 | REPLACE: Quantity and unit | REPLACE: Quantity and unit | REPLACE: Survey, historic use, model, or policy target | REPLACE: Evidence |
| REPLACE: Segment 2 | REPLACE: Quantity and unit | REPLACE: Quantity and unit | REPLACE: Survey, historic use, model, or policy target | REPLACE: Evidence |
Supply or Input Availability
Section titled “Supply or Input Availability”| Supply Item | Required Quantity | Available Quantity | Reliability Risk | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPLACE: Input, feedstock, water, energy, land, labor, or service | REPLACE: Quantity and unit | REPLACE: Quantity and unit | REPLACE: Low, medium, high, and rationale | REPLACE: Evidence |
| REPLACE: Input, feedstock, water, energy, land, labor, or service | REPLACE: Quantity and unit | REPLACE: Quantity and unit | REPLACE: Low, medium, high, and rationale | REPLACE: Evidence |
Offtake or Use Commitments
Section titled “Offtake or Use Commitments”| Counterparty or User Group | Instrument | Volume or Service Level | Term | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPLACE: Buyer, utility, agency, community, or user group | REPLACE: LOI, MOU, contract, tariff, allocation, subscription, or public mandate | REPLACE: Quantity and unit | REPLACE: Term | REPLACE: Draft, signed, pending, or not started | REPLACE: Evidence |
| REPLACE: Buyer, utility, agency, community, or user group | REPLACE: Instrument | REPLACE: Quantity and unit | REPLACE: Term | REPLACE: Status | REPLACE: Evidence |
Demand-to-Revenue Logic
Section titled “Demand-to-Revenue Logic”Evidence Prompts
Section titled “Evidence Prompts”| Prompt | Expected Evidence | Owner | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Confirm demand assumptions are not double-counted across segments. | Demand model, source table, or reviewer note. | REPLACE: Owner | REPLACE: Status |
| Confirm offtake terms align with financial model assumptions. | Signed documents, term sheet, tariff order, or budget commitment. | REPLACE: Owner | REPLACE: Status |
| Confirm supply constraints are reflected in design capacity and risk register. | Supply assessment, input contract, water balance, grid study, or logistics plan. | REPLACE: Owner | REPLACE: Status |